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Wednesday, September 9, 2026. Markets are pricing inflation risk and geopolitical risk at the same time, while Treasury signals it wants more control over volatility.
Wall Street fades while oil climbs on inflation nerves and Middle East risk
U.S. stocks slid as investors weighed stubborn inflation signals against fresh uncertainty in the Middle East, a mix that tends to hit risk assets and lift defensive positioning. The move wasn’t about one datapoint so much as the market’s growing discomfort that rates may need to stay higher for longer.
Oil rose as traders repriced geopolitical risk and potential supply disruptions, reinforcing a familiar pattern: energy up, equities down, and bond yields under pressure. The bigger takeaway is correlation risk coming back—when inflation and geopolitics point in the same direction, diversification stops working.
Source: Reuters
Read the full story at Reuters →
Bessent tees up Treasury buybacks and tells FX traders he’s running the table
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is set to reveal details of a bond-market buyback plan, including the size of an operation first announced in August. The stated aim is smoother market functioning, but the subtext is clear: the government wants to manage liquidity and volatility more actively as deficits and issuance remain heavy.
Bessent also delivered a blunt message to currency traders, saying he’s “the house now,” signaling a tougher posture on market moves that clash with Washington’s goals. Expect the announcement to be read less as a one-off tool and more as a new standing feature of Treasury market plumbing.
Source: CNBC
Musk’s PAC goes all-in on the trans debate in battleground races
Elon Musk’s political operation is ramping up spending around transgender issues, targeting Democratic candidates in key battleground contests with ads and digital messaging. The thrust is to force candidates onto unpopular cultural terrain and make down-ballot races feel like a referendum on school and sports policies.
Strategically, it’s a bet that culture-war salience can outperform traditional issue framing in a close election environment, especially with low-information voters who are reachable via short-form media. Practically, it adds another high-dollar amplifier to a campaign season already optimized for outrage and repetition.
Source: The Daily Wire
Read the full story at The Daily Wire →
CD&R builds a CEO bench to find deals and run them faster
Private equity firm Clayton, Dubilier & Rice is expanding its roster of former CEOs, using them as a talent pool to source opportunities and help operate portfolio companies. The model is simple: experienced operators can open doors pre-deal and then accelerate change post-deal.
It also reflects the new PE reality: with financing less forgiving and exits harder, the edge is less about clever leverage and more about execution. A deeper CEO bench is a competitive weapon—and a signal that operational value creation is no longer optional.
Source: Bloomberg
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U.S. strikes Iranian oil tankers; energy prices react fast
The U.S. destroyed five Iranian oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman after Iran allegedly attacked an American warship, marking a sharp escalation in a cycle of retaliation. The immediate market response was higher oil and gas prices as traders priced in greater risk to shipping lanes and regional supply.
Even without a sustained supply outage, repeated strikes raise insurance costs, tighten shipping capacity, and keep a geopolitical premium embedded in energy. Watch for whether the next move is diplomatic containment or a wider campaign that drags in partners and chokepoints.
Source: TODAY
Read the full story at TODAY →
That’s the day: risk is being repriced in real time. See you tomorrow—caught up before coffee gets cold.
— Daily Recap Editorial